Anthropogenic Global Warming
This post will have no graphics, statistics or other numerical proofs that the world is round.
Instead, I ask that you pull up your big boy boxers and just think. The global climate is arguably the most complex of all complex systems in which humans are actors. There are two fundamental rules about complex systems to remember. First, every actor affects every other actor. Second, complex systems do not act in a linear fashion.
Michael Crichton
The master, Michael Crichton, summed it up in his famous 2003 address at Caltech: Aliens Cause Global Warming.( Crichton's 'Aliens Cause Global Warming' (skepticalscience.com))
Of course, human behavior plays a role in earth’s climate. By defi9nition, it has to. What other forces besides CO2, a relatively weak greenhouse gas, affect climate? Certainly earthquakes and volcanoes .Solar flares do as well. Wobbles in earth’s orbit affect climate. There are dozens of others that do the same. Has anyone yet identified the 100 most powerful actors in the earth’s climate? Without that, isn’t it hubris to pick out one specific force that is the primary determinant of global climate?
So What?
Se, so what? Every year we watch as far more people die of cold than of heat. An increase in global climate temperature will open far more lands to farming than it will flood. We’ve bo een told that there is only a short time remaining before we hit a tipping point and there will be runaway temperatures on earth. Why? Has anyone explained how that is going to happen?
There is no evidence that total glaciation has suffered any global reduction. At least according to the world’s foremost experts on all things ice: Icelandic scientists. The publicity is given only to glaciers that are retreating. Those that are growing receive no such publicity.
Polar Bears
Polar bears. We all love cute and cuddly polar bears, at least in the abstract. Close up, not so much. They are huge, strong and vicious carnivores. But, we do love them in the abstract. Which is why the US Department of the Interior has been counting them every year for more than thirty—five years. Every year sets a new record for numbers. When Obama took office, he ordered the NOAA to take down its sea ice survey. It seems the North Atlantic sea ice has shown no change in area since 1971.
Famous people have made many forecasts over the last 50 years. Florida was projected to disappear by now. Madison Avenue was projected to be under water 35 years ago. It was predicted that by 1999 it would be impossible to ski in Scotland. That one actually came true None of it has happened except the skiing in Scotland. The reason no one could ski in Scotland was that the snow was too deep for anyone to access the ski slopes.=
Climate Refugees
The billions of climate refugees never materialized. I suggest we do what scientists do and follow the money. Every year there are billions of dollars thrown at the AGW enthusiasts. If we want to have an effect it would be better to apportion the money equally to proponents of AGW and those who are skeptical. That is what I am – skeptical. I am not a climate denier, I’m an AGW skeptic. I don’t believe in things; I either know or don’t know. Thus far, I’m not convinced.
We're hurtling through space at thousands of miles an hour, with natural disasters and varying solar activity, but we're supposed to pretend the government can get and keep at Earth at some 'optimum temperature' if we give them enough money and power.
The entire idea is laughable.
I don't know who the prognosticators are but scientists study evolution and don't do astrology. Climate science has been remarkable in its ability to forecast probability for two hundred years of studying global warming. Scientists have no crystal balls, science only does probability.
In science everyday is a new beginning only theology talks about Alpha and Omega.